My doubts about Obama float around his inexperience and his ability to triangulate with the religious right far too quickly.
My doubts about Clinton float around her disturbing ability to triangulate with the hawks at the drop of a goddamn hat.
But the big question is as such: which will the Republican base of largely ignorant social conservatives in the South and lower Midwest hate more, the idea of a black man in the White House or the idea of a Clinton in the White House?
The good news is that if the Republicans put Guliani or McCain up there, many of the churchies are either gonna just not vote or... more likely... prop up the right-wing version of a Nader, some crazy ideologue "out to prove a point" but much more concerned with being famous (just like Nader) and any Democrat wins.
McCain was too independent in the past to be forgiven by the hardliners and Guliani is... a socially-moderate Catholic from the Northeast. As a Catholic from the Northeast myself, I could well point out what the people in charge of the right-wing agenda did to the last Catholic from the Northeast who had the temerity to run for President...
They blew his head off in Dallas.
Nah, if a Republican can hope to win, it isn't any of the front-runners out there now.
If they put the whole machine behind Thompson early on, I could see him being enough of a Reagan-ese cypher to maybe win... someone who can be whoever each person wants them to be. Happily, Gingrich and Cheney are already cartoon characters who could never win.
I have this weird fear that if everything goes to crap, they're gonna trot out Jeb in the eleventh hour.
Though that is similarly mirrored by my biggest dream, which would be that if Clinton stumbled hard early, Gore rides in like a white knight, like an electric simitar, like a superdriver of the Golden West, like a sole hero in a soul mobile, like the last beautiful free soul on this planet...
Like an aging Clark Kent ripping off his glasses and farmboy flannels in his Kansas retirement to be the Superman once again.
I mean, I'll vote for just about any Democrat other than Uncle Tom Lieberman but...
Of the front-runners, I feel like the Republican base might end up hating Hilary more for being the wife of the Glorious Bastard Who Beat Them At Their Own Goddamn Game than they hate Obama for being black. Which... I guess... is progress?